Market Overview

Fixed Income At A Glance

Fixed Income At A Glance

Key points from June’s credit strategy meeting Tighter financial conditions led us to lower our short-term for the US, UK…
Recession Risk Rises But U.S. Still Expected To Grow In Q2

Recession Risk Rises But U.S. Still Expected To Grow In Q2

Headwinds for US growth continue to strengthen, but next month’s second-quarter report of GDP is still on track to post…
The Fed’s Tightening Is Creating Illiquidity Pockets And Greater Fragility

The Fed’s Tightening Is Creating Illiquidity Pockets And Greater Fragility

Back in summer 2019, I wrote an article highlighting one of my ways to measure market liquidity and what it…
Dollar Stalls, Stocks Given A Lifeline As Rate Hike Bets Scaled Back

Dollar Stalls, Stocks Given A Lifeline As Rate Hike Bets Scaled Back

European and US PMI data underscore recession risks, dampen price outlook Falling commodity prices add to reduced inflation expectations Investors…
‘HODL’ Finds Its Inevitable Flaw

‘HODL’ Finds Its Inevitable Flaw

an original misspelling taken on as a badge of courage by cryptocurrency investors, spread to ‘ during the run up…
S&P 500 May Fall Another 15%

S&P 500 May Fall Another 15%

While stocks are down sharply on the year and cheaper in price, markets are still not reasonable from a valuation…
Rates Spark: How To Price A Recession

Rates Spark: How To Price A Recession

Have market rates peaked? We are getting close, but are not seeing a conclusive message that the top is in…
Peak Inflation Watch

Peak Inflation Watch

The question of when inflation will peak consumes financial and commodity markets, and with good reason. When pricing pressure finally…
Opening Bell: U.S. Futures Recover As Powell Admits Economic Challenges; BTC Up

Opening Bell: U.S. Futures Recover As Powell Admits Economic Challenges; BTC Up

Powell admits recession is «certainly a possibility» But Fed boss said economy is strong Bitcoin rebounds Key Events On Thursday…
Powell Does Little To Ease Recession Concerns But Selloff Eases

Powell Does Little To Ease Recession Concerns But Selloff Eases

Powell talks inflation and recession but Wall Street holds its nerve Flash PMIs underscore recession risks, euro and pound slip…
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